| Junta's on First | The Boss Ft. T-Pain | Machine, Hold the Florence | [Insert "Strongman" Pun Here] | Potpurri |
|---|---|---|---|---|
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What is the boss?
You're barking up the wrong tree if you think that this personalist regime with a civilian leader is a junta.
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What is the machine?
You'd better chiggity-check yourself if you reckon that this nonpersonalist regime controlled by civilians is the boss.
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What is the strongman?
You'd better hold your horses if you think this personalist regime with a military leader is a machine.
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What is a junta?
If you think that this nonpersonalist regime run by the military is in the clutches of a strongman, you are terribly wrong and you should think about what you've done.
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Who is Jan Michael Vincent?
This '80s action hero starred in the critically acclaimed television series, Airwolf.
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BOTH.
Do officers have different worldviews because militaries self-select certain types of people, socialize them into certain beliefs, or both? [Screw Jeopardy]
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Stalin, Mao, etc
Name an example of a country’s regime type changing due to the nonviolent death of its leader. [SJ]
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Who is Kant?
This philosopher asserts, perhaps incorrectly, that the elites in nonpersonalist regimes do not suffer from war.
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What is Spain?
The strongman, Francisco Franco, ruled the autocratic government of this nation.
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Strongman, boss, junta, machine
Rank the four categories of autocratic states from the most belligerent to the most pacific. [Screw Jeopardy]
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Machines
According to Weeks’s theory are leaders in juntas or machines more likely to be punished for losing a war? [Screw Jeopardy]
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Boss regimes have personalist leaders who don’t face a strong, organized domestic audience able to exert ex ante or ex post constraints on their policy choices
-leader has the ability to appoint and arbitrarily dismiss friends, relatives, and cronies to important offices and can arbitrarily dismiss -officials depend on the leader for their own political survival, it’s very dangerous to criticize or try to overthrow the leader
What is the difference between a boss regime and a machine regime according to Weeks? [SJ]
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They often aren’t excludable from the public like natural resources. Usually everyone benefits from the spoils (like territory or secure borders).
Why does Weeks think elites don’t benefit disproportionately from the spoils of war? [SJ]
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What is the machine?
Autocratic states run by strongmen are the most likely to initiate conflict; this regime type is the least likely to do so.
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Russian speeches, US survey (Feaver and Gelpi), Horowitz and Stam’s finding that leaders with military experience are more bellicose
Name at least one outside source of evidence Weeks uses to support her argument that members of militaries are more predisposed toward war as a policy option. [Screw Jeopardy]
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What is a junta?
According to the data, leaders of this category of autocracy are likely to be punished for losing a war.
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Personalist leaders...
-can keep the spoils of war without having to share them with the public. -are revisionist (“prone to grand international ambitions”). -can protect themselves from harm, and squirrel away vast sums of money. -are surrounded by sycophants. -often gained power through violence so have no qualms using it for further personal gains.
Why are personalist leaders more inclined toward war? (List three or more distinct reasons.) [Screw Jeopardy]
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There is little evidence of normative differences, and the democratic peace only prevents democracies from fighting other democracies.
Why does Weeks think civilian elites in autocracies are just as culturally opposed to war as elites in democracies? [SJ]
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What is 0%?
Weeks finds that this percentage of strongmen were removed from power after losing a war.
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The sample size is too small (only 6 junta and 5 strongmen wars).
Why should we be cautious in interpreting the analysis of the chances of defeat for initiators and joiners? [Screw Jeopardy]
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There is none.
What is the consensus* in the literature on whether military leaders in autocracies are more or less hawkish than civilian leaders in autocracies? [Screw Jeopardy]
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What is strongman?
Weeks categorizes autocracies run by a FORMER military officer as this type of regime.
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They have more access to information than the “rationally ignorant” public, so it’s harder for a leader to convince them to support a war that has a high probability of defeat.
Why are civilian elites in machines more likely to oppose risky wars than the public in democracies? [Screw Jeopardy]
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Who is Ahmed Hassan al-Bakr?
Weeks labels this leader, the president of Iraq from 1968 to 1979, as a strongman.
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Who is Geddes?
This political scientist sorts all autocratic regimes into three categories instead of four: single party regimes, military regimes, and personalist regimes.
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